NCAA Tournament East Region First Round: Gambling Breakdown and Picks

Top-seeded Villanova should roll through this bracket, but what we want to know is…will they cover? More importantly, Can Purdue or West Virginia finally break through?
Villanova vs. #16 Radford

538 Win Prob: N/A

Ken Pom says: N/A

Joes vs. Pros: N/A

ATS Pick: N/A (no spread yet with play-in game)

The line has not come out for this game yet, so we will have to wait and see. Radford is a solid team defensively, so they are more likely to cover a huge number vs. Nova.

#8 Virginia Tech (-2) vs. #9 Alabama

538 Win Prob: Virginia Tech 59%

Ken Pom says: Virginia Tech 72-70

Joes vs. Pros: Nothing big in this matchup. 67% of the public and 58% of the money is on VT with the line staying steady at -2.

ATS Pick: Virginia Tech -2

Alabama will have the best player on the court in Collin Sexton. But the problem is, Bama relies too much on him. And if there is one guy that will be ready, it is Buzz Williams. Give Buzz time to prepare and he will have his kids ready to defend. Buzz will make anyone but Sexton beat them, and I don’t see anyone else stepping up for Bama.

#5 West Virginia (-9.5) vs. #12 Murray State

538 Win Prob: West Virginia 84%

Ken Pom says: West Virginia 78-72

Joes vs. Pros: 61% of the public is on Murray State, while 51% of the money is on West Virginia. The line started at WV -10 and is now down to -9.5.

ATS Pick: Murray State +9.5

Murray State is a little bit of a tougher draw than West Virginia was expecting, so I can see a possible 5/12 upset in this one. Murray State’s backcourt of Ja Morant and Jonathan Stark is well equipped to handle the Mountaineers’ pressing defense. …read more

Source:: The Big Lead

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